Determinants of Unemployment among Educated Youth: Empirical Reflections from Twin Cities, Pakistan

Authors

  • Roha Amer PMAS, Arid Agriculture University Rawalpindi

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.58932/MULA0062

Keywords:

Unemployment, Logistic Regression Model, Youth, Education, Technical skills

Abstract

Youth unemployment represents a persistent global challenge, particularly within developing economies where its social and economic repercussions are profound. Pakistan is no exception, as a significant proportion of its young population continues to face difficulties in accessing meaningful employment opportunities. This study investigates the determinants of youth unemployment and their relationship with unemployment rates in Pakistan, with a specific focus on the metropolitan regions of Islamabad and Rawalpindi. Data were collected from a sample of 300 individuals aged 18 to 29 years, each possessing a minimum educational qualification of a diploma or associate degree (14 years of education). Logistic regression analysis was applied to identify significant factors influencing unemployment. The results indicate that age has an inverse relationship with unemployment, suggesting that older youth are more likely to be employed. Gender disparities were also evident, with men exhibiting lower unemployment rates compared to women. Furthermore, marital status emerged as a significant determinant, as unmarried individuals were found to be more susceptible to unemployment. Socioeconomic background also influenced outcomes; middle-class respondents demonstrated higher employment rates due to greater adaptability and continuous engagement in the labor market. Conversely, individuals awaiting government job opportunities exhibited higher unemployment levels. The study concludes that technical and vocational skills play a pivotal role in reducing unemployment among educated youth by enhancing employability and aligning qualifications with labor market demands. Policymakers are encouraged to strengthen skill-oriented education and promote private-sector participation to mitigate youth unemployment in Pakistan.

References

Ahmad, A., & Khan, F. (2018). Investigating the determinants of youth unemployment in Pakistan. Pakistan Journal of Humanities & Social Science Research, 1(1), 1–12.

Ajaegbu, O. O. (2012). Rising youth unemployment and violent crime in Nigeria. American Journal of Social Issues and Humanities, 2(5), 315–321.

Anh, D. N., Le Bach Duong, N. H., & Van, N. H. (2005). Youth employment in Viet Nam: Characteristics, determinants and policy responses. International Labour Office.

Awad, A., & Hussain, M. A. (2021). The inequality of opportunity and youth employment in Sub-Saharan Africa. Labor History, 62(1), 74–90.

Baah-Boateng, W. (2016). The youth unemployment challenge in Africa: What are the drivers? The Economic and Labour Relations Review, 27(4), 413–431.

Baah-Boateng, W. (2013). Determinants of unemployment in Ghana. African Development Review, 25(4), 385–399.

Bashir, D., Ahmad, T., & Hidayat, T. (2013). Causes of unemployment among highly educated women in Pakistan: A case study of Bahawalnagar District. Pakistan Journal of Humanities and Social Sciences, 1(1), 1–10.

Batu, M. M. (2016). Determinants of youth unemployment in urban areas of Ethiopia. International Journal of Scientific and Research Publications, 6(5), 343–350.

Brown, S., & Taylor, K. (2011). Reservation wages, market wages and unemployment: Analysis of individual level panel data. Economic Modelling, 28(3), 1317–1327.

Bruno, C., & Cases, S. (1998). French youth unemployment: An overview. International Labour Organization.

Burger, R., & Von Fintel, D. (2009). Determining the causes of the rising South African unemployment rate: An age, period and generational analysis. Economic Research Southern Africa (ERSA) Working Papers, 158.

Chaudhary, M. A., & Hamid, A. (1998). Unemployment in Pakistan. Pakistan Economic and Social Review, 147–170.

Cheema, A. R., & Atta, A. (2014). Economic determinants of unemployment in Pakistan: Co-integration analysis. International Journal of Business and Social Science, 5(3).

Collins, N. (2005). Economic reform and unemployment in Vietnam. In Unemployment in Asia (pp. 192–209). Routledge.

Dagume, M. A., & Gyekye, A. (2016). Determinants of youth unemployment in South Africa: Evidence from the Vhembe district of Limpopo province. Environmental Economics, 7(4), 59–67.

De Lannoy, A., Graham, L., Patel, L., & Leibbrandt, M. (2020). Why is youth unemployment so intractable in South Africa? A synthesis of evidence at the micro-level. Journal of Applied Youth Studies, 3(2), 115–131.

Dimitrov, J. (2012). Youth unemployment in Bulgaria. Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung.

Egan, M., Daly, M., & Delaney, L. (2015). Childhood psychological distress and youth unemployment: Evidence from two British cohort studies. Social Science & Medicine, 124, 11–17.

Egan, M., Daly, M., & Delaney, L. (2016). Adolescent psychological distress, unemployment, and the Great Recession: Evidence from the National Longitudinal Study of Youth 1997. Social Science & Medicine, 156, 98–105.

Faisal, T., Hyder, M., & Zaidi, S. S. Z. (2019). Behavioral aspects of youth in Pakistan: Un-employment and entrepreneurship. Academic Research International, 10.

Falakahla, L. (2018). The causality between youth unemployment, education attainment and labour force participation: Evidence from South Africa.

Farah, S. A., & Ali, H. A. (2018). A study on the causes of unemployment among university graduates in Kenya: A case of Garissa County, Kenya. European Journal of Social Sciences Studies.

Faridi, M. Z., & Rashid, A. (2014). The correlates of educated women's labor force participation in Pakistan: A micro-study. The Lahore Journal of Economics, 19(2), 155–176.

Görmüş, A. (2019). Long-term youth unemployment: Evidence from Turkish Household Labour Force Survey. The Indian Journal of Labour Economics, 62(3), 341–359.

Gunarathne, L., & Jayasinghe, C. L. (2021). Factors affecting unemployment duration of the science and arts stream university graduates in Sri Lanka. Advanced Journal of Social Science, 8(1), 96–120.

Ibupoto, M. H., Mirjat, A. J., Dahar, S. H., & Ali, S. (n.d.). Determinants of unemployment: A social problem in Hyderabad Region, Sindh-Pakistan.

Imtiaz, S., Arshad, A., Khan, Z., Ullah, M., Khan, M., & Jacquemod, J. (2020). Determinants of youth unemployment in Pakistan. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 10(5), 171–178.

Iqbal, M., & Khaleek, S. (2013). Causes of unemployment among the educated youth in Pakistan. The International Journal of Social Sciences, 11(1), 170–176.

Kassa, A. (2015). Statistical analysis of factors influencing women unemployment in urban Ethiopia. Addis Ababa University.

Khan, T., & Yousaf, F. (2013). Unemployment duration of first-time job seekers: A case study of Bahawalpur. Asian Journal of Economic Modelling, 1(1), 8–19.

Kingdon, G., & Knight, J. (2006). The measurement of unemployment when unemployment is high. Labour Economics, 13(3), 291–315.

Kingdon, G. G., & Knight, J. (2004a). Race and the incidence of unemployment in South Africa. Review of Development Economics, 8(2), 198–222.

Kingdon, G. G., & Knight, J. (2004b). Unemployment in South Africa: The nature of the beast. World Development, 32(3), 391–408.

Kumar, D., Jai, K., & Joti, K. (2021). Determinant of youth unemployment and consequence: A case study of Mirpurkhas region.

Lindley, J. (2005). Explaining ethnic unemployment and activity rates: Evidence from the QLFS in the 1990s and 2000s. Bulletin of Economic Research, 57(2), 185–203.

Macharia, S. (2021). Informal employment in poverty reduction in Kenya.

Majumder, R., & Mukherjee, D. (2013). Unemployment among educated youth: Implications for India’s demographic dividend.

Maqbool, M. S., Mahmood, T., Sattar, A., & Bhalli, M. (2013). Determinants of unemployment: Empirical evidences from Pakistan. Pakistan Economic and Social Review, 191–208.

Msigwa, R., & Kipesha, E. F. (2013). Determinants of youth unemployment in developing countries: Evidences from Tanzania. Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development, 4(14), 67–76.

Ndyali, L. (2016). Higher education system and jobless graduates in Tanzania. Journal of Education and Practice, 7(4), 116–121.

Parker, S. K., Bindl, U. K., & Strauss, K. (2010). Making things happen: A model of proactive motivation. Journal of Management, 36(4), 827–856.

Patel, L., Khan, Z., & Englert, T. (2020). How might a national minimum wage affect the employment of youth in South Africa? Development Southern Africa, 37(1), 147–161.

Pettersen, A.-M. (2017). Youth unemployment in Uganda: Challenges and survival strategies of women in Kampala. UiT Norges Arktiske Universitet.

Raifu, I. A. (2017). On the determinants of unemployment in Nigeria: What are the roles of trade openness and current account balance? Review of Innovation and Competitiveness: A Journal of Economic and Social Research, 3(4), 5–30.

Reda, N. W., & Gebre-Eyesus, M. T. (2018). Graduate unemployment in Ethiopia: The ‘red flag’ and its implications. International Journal of African Higher Education, 5(1).

Sackey, H. A., & Osei, B. (2006). Human resource underutilization in an era of poverty reduction: An analysis of unemployment and underemployment in Ghana. African Development Review, 18(2), 221–247.

Sadan, M. G. (n.d.). Cederlöf, Professor of History, Department of Cultural Sciences and Centre for Concurrences in Colonial and Postcolonial Studies, Linnaeus University, Sweden. Incomplte

Salama, A. (2017). Analysis of unemployment challenges in Palestine between 2000 and 2015. SEA: Practical Application of Science, 5(3).

Sam, S. O. (2016). Modelling economic determinants of youth unemployment in Kenya. Journal of Emerging Trends in Economics and Management Sciences, 7(1), 31–38.

Singh, C. (2003). Skill, education and employment: A dissenting essay. Economic and Political Weekly, 3271–3276.

Singh, R. (2018). The cause of unemployment in current market scenario. Vivechan International Journal of Research, 9(1), 81–86.

Tegegne, T. K. (2019). Socioeconomic determinants of youth unemployment in Ethiopia: The case of Wolaita Sodo Town, Southern Ethiopia. Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development, 10(23), 46–53.

Uddin, P. (2013). Causes, effects and solutions to youth unemployment problems in Nigeria. Journal of Emerging Trends in Economics and Management Sciences, 4(4), 397–402.

Weerasiri, A., & Samaraweera, G. (2021). Factors influencing youth unemployment in Sri Lanka.

Yangchen, T. (2017). Determinants of youth unemployment in Bhutan. KDI School.

Zimmermann, K. F., Biavaschi, C., Eichhorst, W., Giulietti, C., Kendzia, M. J., Muravyev, A., ... Schmidl, R. (2013). Youth unemployment and vocational training. Foundations and Trends in Microeconomics, 9(1–2), 1–157.

Downloads

Published

2025-12-30

How to Cite

Amer, R. (2025). Determinants of Unemployment among Educated Youth: Empirical Reflections from Twin Cities, Pakistan. Journal of Professional Research in Social Sciences, 12(2), 6–21. https://doi.org/10.58932/MULA0062

Issue

Section

Articles (English)